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  • Originally posted by danastas View Post
    I suspect your chances of getting caught with gun are much much higher than your chances of being killed by a mass murdering maniac.
    The best answer to this question I've come up with is that in my state I have a 0.46 % chance of being a victim of a violent crime , a 2.3 % chance of being a victim of property crime, and a 0.7% chance of being arrested for a weapons violation. This assumes victimization and arrests are random of course, which they are not. However, I would argue that victimization events are more random than arrests. The victimization stats are for my state, the arrests come from a national census. Niggle over the details all you want but in MA it is reasonable to say that chances of being a violent crime victim are at least comperable to being pinched for carrying. Better judged by 12 than carried 6 is a perfectly rational decision whatever the government decides for laws.

    Sources:



    Last edited by Tashtego; 04-22-2007, 07:51 AM.

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    • If Cho had a history of mental health problems then why was he able to buy a gun? I don't understand that.

      I thought there were laws that prevented people like that from buying guns?

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      • Originally posted by Wordicus View Post
        If Cho had a history of mental health problems then why was he able to buy a gun? I don't understand that.

        I thought there were laws that prevented people like that from buying guns?
        The buyer fills out the form. There is a guestion: "Are you or have you ever been nuts?" Just what do you think he would answer?
        I am a true ass set to this board.

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        • Jesus.. that's completely ridiculous.

          A friend of mine goes to school at VA Tech, and she still doesn't want to talk about it. A lot of her friends were killed.

          Very sad, indeed.

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          • Originally posted by Tashtego View Post
            The best answer to this question I've come up with is that in my state I have a 0.46 % chance of being a victim of a violent crime , a 2.3 % chance of being a victim of property crime, and a 0.7% chance of being arrested for a weapons violation. This assumes victimization and arrests are random of course, which they are not. However, I would argue that victimization events are more random than arrests. The victimization stats are for my state, the arrests come from a national census.Sources:



            http://www.census.gov/compendia/stat...isons/arrests/
            Hey man, can you figure that for California? Thanks.
            "Quiet, numbskulls, I'm broadcasting!" -Moe Howard, "Micro-Phonies" (1945)

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            • Cali would be wild to calculate as a whole and at that point, not very accurate for the area.. Some areas are the worst crimes areas in America, some are the safest.

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              • ULTRA-PROGRESSIVE LIBERAL SPEAKS IN FAVOR OF 2ND AMENDMENT



                How to Stop the Next Campus Shootings
                Bring Back the Posse


                By ALEXANDER COCKBURN

                Since there undoubtedly will be a next time, probably in the not so distant future, what useful counsel on preventive measures can we offer students and faculty and campus police forces across America?

                There have been the usual howls from the anti-gun lobby, but it's all hot air. America is not about to dump the Second Amendment to the US Constitution giving people the right--albeit an increasingly circumscribed one -- to bear arms.

                A better idea would be for appropriately screened teachers and maybe student monitors to carry weapons. A quarter of a century ago students doing military ROTC training regularly carried rifles around campus. US Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia recently recalled regularly traveling on the New York subway system as a student with his rife. Perhaps there should be guns in wall cases, behind glass, at strategic points around campuses, like those fire axes, usually with menacing signs about improper use.

                Five years ago Peter Odighizuwa a 43 years old Nigerian student killed three faculty members at Appalachian Law School Dean with a semi-automatic handgun, but before he could wreak further carnage two students fetched weapons from their cars, challenged the murderer with guns levelled ,and disarmed him.

                When the mass murder session began in the engineering building the police cowered behind their cruisers till Cho Seung-Hui finished off the last batch of his 32 victims, then killed himself. Then the police bravely rushed in, started sticking their guns in the faces of the traumatized students, screaming at them to freeze or be shot. Similar timidity was on display in Columbine, where Harris and Klebold killed students in the library over a period of 15 minutes and then committed suicide. The police finally mustered up the nerve to enter the library over two hours later.

                Years ago campus police were greeted as a welcome alternative to regular cops hassling students and creating trouble.. But now they mostly are regular cops, hassling students, dishing out speeding tickets like the one the Virigina Tech campus police issued Cho. They were good at spotting a car going a few miles over the limit, bad at protecting the campus from a smouldering psychotic.

                The Virginia Tech terrible massacre should prompt a radical review of the utility of SWAT teams which now infest almost every community in America. Each time there's a hostage taking or a mass murderer on the rampage, one sees the same familiar sight: overweight SWAT men, doubled up under the weight of their costly artillery, lumbering along in their body armor and then hiding behind trees or cars or walls while the killer goes about his business. SWAT teams perform most efficiently when shooting down unarmed street people menacing them with cellphones.

                The answer is to disband SWAT teams and kindred military units, and return to the idea of voluntary posses or militias: a speedy assembly of citizen volunteers with their own weapons. Such a body at Columbine or Virginia Tech might have saved many lifes. In other words: make the Second Amendment live up to its promise.

                In 2005 I listened to some earnest ACLU type at a meeting in Garberville, an hour from where I live, deliver a judicious speech about Taser guns--a new toy for the cops, whereb y a person can be zapped with 50,000 volts. The ACLU guy was torn. On the one hand, he reasoned that the Taser -- being purportedly, though not actually non-lethal -- is better than a 12-gauge or high powered rifle. On the other hand, there is the possibility of "improper use". His answer: more regulation. He didn't entertain the actual course of events, namely that Tasers have now been added to the means whereby the police can kill or terrorize people and that regulation will be zero.

                The left complain about SWAT teams, but doesn't see that the progressives bear a lot of responsibility for their rise. If you confer the task of social invigilation and protection to professional janissaries--cops -- and deny the right of self and social protection to ordinary citizens, you end up with crews of over-armed thugs running amok under official license, terrorizing the disarmed citizens. In the end you have the whole place run by the Army or the federalized National Guard, as is increasingly evident now with the overturning of the Posse Comitatus laws forbidding any role for the military in domestic law enforcement.

                What should be banned from campuses are not weapons but prescriptions for antidepressants. Eric Harris, co-slayer (with Dylan Klebold) of twelve students and a teacher in the Columbine school shootings in 1999, was on Luvox, a Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitor (SSRI) of the same class as Prozac, Zoloft, and Paxil. Initially Harris had been prescribed Zoloft, but told his doctor he was having suicidal and homicidal fantasies. So the doc shifted him to Luvox.

                16-year Jeff Weise, who killed 10 schoolmates at Red Lake High School on an Indian Reservation in 2005 was on Prozac. The manufacturer said 4 per cent of children in one of its tests of Luvox developed short-term mania. Other studies of the SSRI anti-depressants have claimed they have a 15 per cent chance of prompting suicidal or homicidal reactions.

                Cho Seung-Hui was on a prescription drug for his psychological problems. What exactly it was not yet been disclosed, though the likelihood of it being an anti-depressant is high, since doctors on campuses dispense prescriptions for them like confetti.

                There was plenty of evidence that Cho Seung-Hui was a time bomb waiting to explode. Students refused to take classes with him. His essays so disturbed one of his teachers with their violent ravings that she arranged a secret signal to another professor in case she needed security during her tutorials. It seems he may well have harassed female students and set fire to a dorm earlier this year. Students talked about him as a possible shooter. Three weeks ago there were anonymous threats to bomb the engineering buildings. Come the first two slayings in the dorm and the cops don't raise the alarm or clear the campus.

                Make laxity in closely supervising and, where necessary, committing visibly psychotic students grounds for termination. More than one teacher felt Cho was scarily nuts. They recommended "counseling", then didn't bother to review the conclusions of the counselors. And now it has emerged that Cho was actually institutionalised as a psychotic and eminent suicide risk in 2005. Yet when he returned to campus the administrators didn't even tip off his room-mate to be on the watch.

                College administrators live in constant fear of declining students enrollment. At the first sign of trouble and adverse publicity they cover up. So, there's a double killing in the dorm at 7.15am, after which Cho has time to go home, make his final home video, walk to the post office, mail off the video collection to NBC and head off to the engineering building with his guns. The school's first email to students goes out more than two hours later. The ineffable Warren Steger, college president, said later "We can only make decisions based on the information you had on the time. You don't have hours to reflect on it." Two dead bodies, a killer somewhere on campus, and Steger makes his big decision to do nothing.

                As Lila Rajiva remarked here the other day, don't hire stupid administrators.

                Learning to be an American: there are many ways, of which the Cho family learned at least two: Cho's sister went to Princeton and now administers Iraq reconstruction money for the State Department: a cog in the mighty wheel of empire. Cho raved that his victims brought it on themselves, and richly deserved fire and brimstone. There are no innocent bystanders who should be spared. In practical terms this is the imperative of Empire too, as we see every day in Iraq.
                The 2nd Amendment: America's Original Homeland Defense.

                Comment


                • Originally posted by Tashtego View Post
                  The best answer to this question I've come up with is that in my state I have a 0.46 % chance of being a victim of a violent crime , a 2.3 % chance of being a victim of property crime, and a 0.7% chance of being arrested for a weapons violation. This assumes victimization and arrests are random of course, which they are not. However, I would argue that victimization events are more random than arrests. The victimization stats are for my state, the arrests come from a national census. Niggle over the details all you want but in MA it is reasonable to say that chances of being a violent crime victim are at least comperable to being pinched for carrying. Better judged by 12 than carried 6 is a perfectly rational decision whatever the government decides for laws.

                  Sources:



                  http://www.census.gov/compendia/stat...isons/arrests/
                  Well, I'm talking specifically about college campuses. I read an article (after VT) that showed the number of murders on college campuses are much less than half of what they are in Forbes 500 corporate offices. I'd imagine they were relatively infinitesmal compared to the general population.

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                  • I like Cockburn. But he's nuts on this. I'm perfectly comfortable teaching with the possibility of a Cho happening (the rare rare rare possibility) whereas I've been on PSU's campus, and know of a problem at SUNY-Albany, when a gun-toting fellow had a few beers and got too angry. these weren't Cho's, These were people with rage problems that took a shot at others after losing control. no thanks.

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                    • Cockburn also gets the story completely wrong about how threatening Cho was.

                      Fact: Cho's manuscript wasn't anywhere near as disturbing as those handed in by some of my brightest socially well rounded students. I had a girl apologize the other day (post VT) because of all the pedophilia in her mansucript. Two, Nikki Giovanni through the kid out because he was taking pics of girls with his cellphone. She was creeped out by him. My wife teaches, she gets creeped out by kids too.

                      Oddly enough, giovanni threatened to resign unless he was kicked out of her class. Guess why? Because she met resiistance from her colleagues and the administration. So the chair of the department took him on as a personal tutor. She's the one who ultimately referred him, and the code word she was using was the exact codeword she used with her personal secretary for ALL STUDENTS.

                      Cockburn is doing some really really sloppy work here.

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                      • Originally posted by danastas View Post
                        Two, Nikki Giovanni through the kid out because he was taking pics of girls with his cellphone.

                        .......Cockburn is doing some really really sloppy work here.

                        "Through the kid out"? You're a teacher huh?

                        An you think Cockburn is sloppy? hehe...

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                        • Double post.... This forum is doing interesting stuff lately...

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                          • Originally posted by Cleveland Metal View Post
                            "Through the kid out"? You're a teacher huh?

                            An you think Cockburn is sloppy? hehe...


                            They better already have their grammah down before they come to me.

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                            • Did she through him threw the door in they're school?

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                              • Originally posted by Cleveland Metal View Post
                                Did she through him threw the door in they're school?
                                A+, nice poem. She through him threw the door. It actually makes sense grammatically, if you think about it.

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